European Climate Prediction system

General Information

The European Climate Prediction system project (EUCP) has the following four objectives: 1. Develop an innovative ensemble climate prediction system based on high-resolution climate models for Europe for the near-term (about 1-40 years), including improved methods used to characterize uncertainty in climate predictions, regional downscaling, and evaluation against observations; 2. Use the climate prediction system to produce consistent, authoritative and actionable climate information. This information will be co-designed with users to constitute a robust foundation for Europe-wide climate service activities to support climate related risk assessments and climate change adaptation programs; 3. Demonstrate the value of this climate prediction system through high impact extreme weather events in the near past and near future drawing on convection permitting regional climate models translated into risk information for, and with, targeted end users; 4. Develop, and publish, methodologies, good practice and guidance for producing and using authoritative climate predictions for the 1-40 year timescale. The system (objective 1) will combine initialized climate predictions on the multi-annual timescale with longer-term climate projections and high resolution regional downscaling, using observations for evaluation. Methodologies will be developed to characterize uncertainty and to seamlessly blend the predictions and projections. Users will be engaged through active user groups. The system will be utilized (objective 2) with users to co-produce information suitable for European climate service activities. A set of demonstrators will show the value of this information in real-world applications with user involvement (objective 3). Key outputs will include disseminating and publishing the project’s methodologies, and user-relevant data and knowledge (objective 4).
Hereon’s main contributions are to the work package “Documentation, data exchange, and integrating science with users”.

EU-Programme Acronym and Subprogramme Area	H2020-SC5-2016-2017
Project Type	Research and Innovation action RIA
Contract Number	Grant Agreement 776613
Co-ordinator	Met Office (UK)

Funding for the Project (€)	Funding for Hereon (€)
12,999,515	667,405

Contact Person at Hereon

Dr. Claas Teichmann, Climate Service Center Germany (GERICS), Phone: +49 40 22633 8441 E-mail contact

Participants

Barcelona Supercomputing Center - Centro Nacional de Supercomputacion (ES), Centro Euro-Mediterraneo per i Cambiamenti Climatici SCARL (IT), CNRS (FR), Danish Meteorological Institute (DK), Eidgenössische Technische Hochschule Zürich (CH), International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (AT), Köbenhavns Universitet (DK), Koninklijk Nederlands Meteorologisch Instituut (NL), Met Office (UK), Stichting Deltares (NL), Stichting Netherlands Escience Center (NL), Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute (SE), The Chancellor, Masters and Scholars of the University of Oxford (UK), UNESCO (FR), University of Edinburgh (UK)

Last Update: 11. January 2022